HistoryLatest2026-04-22 18:21:252026-04-22 18:20:252026-04-22 18:20:242026-04-22 18:15:412026-04-22 18:15:402026-04-22 18:10:422026-04-22 18:10:392026-04-22 18:06:392026-04-22 18:03:332026-04-22 18:00:122026-04-22 17:55:522026-04-22 17:53:472026-04-22 15:35:122026-04-22 13:46:192026-04-22 10:54:312026-04-22 10:52:212026-04-22 10:51:392026-04-21 17:18:33
Coverage universe

Pipeline console

Point-in-time view, movement history, and click-through thesis buildout from the canonical markdown files.
Updated 2026-04-22 18:21:25
1. New opportunity
Fresh lead surfaced by the intake engine and kept alive after the sniff test.
2. First pass
The currently active evaluation layer where real company work happens.
3. Full pitch
Graduated out of first pass into real underwriting / pitch status.
4. Dead
Killed, rejected, or noted-but-not-pursued. Not in the active funnel anymore.
Opportunities tracked
38
NEW_OPPORTUNITY: 4, FIRST_PASS: 3, DEAD: 31
Live queue
5
NEW: 4, FIRST_PASS: 1
Intake
34
SOURCE_NOTED: 16, DISCARDED: 10, QUEUED: 8
New intake today
0
Date: 2026-04-22
Movement events
51
Derived from intake, queue, pitch, and research artifacts

Core funnel by stage

Collapsed to the only stages that really matter
FULL PITCH
Nothing here.
DEAD31
002380.SZ · Nanjing Sciyon Wisdom Technology Group Co., Ltd.
China growth software at roughly 52x earnings and 15.7x EV/EBITDA is not a value idea just because a newsletter discovered it.
300595.SZ · Autek China Inc.
Incoherent visible framing plus China small-cap growth valuation is an easy kill.
3103.T · Unitika Ltd.
Category is explicitly growth, P/E is about 115.8x, and the teaser is basically AI supply-tightness momentum with pricing-power rhetoric. Wrong funnel.
3793.T · Drecom Co.,Ltd.
Negative P/E, entertainment/game-IP volatility, and summary centered on turnaround hope after a failed title. Too speculative and too hit-driven for the core funnel.
3836.T · Avant Group Corporation
Worth remembering as a niche Japanese software lead, but the visible case is still more quality-growth than mispriced value. Not enough gap yet for queue.
4194.T · Visional, Inc.
Probably a fine company, but this funnel does not need another expensive-enough quality platform with no obvious broken-expectations angle.
7734.T · Riken Keiki Co., Ltd.
Real business, but not a clear value-funnel mispricing. Company IR shows FY2025 net sales of about JPY 49.0bn, operating profit of about JPY 10.6bn, net income of about JPY 8.0bn…
8697.T · Japan Exchange Group, Inc.
Interesting business and real economics, but current visible setup looks more like quality/growth framing than obvious value-funnel mispricing. Worth remembering as a high-quality…
AAGIY · AIA Group Ltd
Too large-cap and too generic from the visible stub to clear the edge bar for this funnel.
ABT · Abbott Laboratories
Too close to generic forum-quality large-cap debate for this funnel. Worthy business maybe, but this specific lead does not clear the edge bar.
ADP · Automatic Data Processing, Inc.
Good business, wrong funnel. Too large-cap, too followed, too obviously quality-compounder-for-a-reason.
ALGT · Allegiant Travel Company
Understandable lead, but airlines start with two strikes in this doctrine. Keep as a source note unless later work surfaces a clearer structural mispricing rather than a standard…
ALLY · Ally Financial Inc.
Q4 2025 13F sweep, Yellowbrick filing page convenience-layer pass. New Berkshire position at ~0.21% weight; smaller Berkshire line so Combs/Weschler caveat applies.
AMKR · Amkor Technology, Inc.
Real business and not absurdly expensive, but the visible stub still reads more like cyclical semiconductor optimism than a clean value dislocation. Keep as a source lead, not a…
AMZN · Amazon.com, Inc.
Q4 2025 13F sweep, convenience-layer pass from Yellowbrick filing pages. Baupost new purchase at 9.28%, Pershing add 65% to a 14.28% weight, Berkshire reduce 100%. Holder-cluster…
BAX · Baxter International Inc.
Real cluster signal, but still not enough for queue on ownership alone. Keep as a holder-cluster lead until primary-source work says the business economics or turnaround angle are…
BN · Brookfield Corporation
Q4 2025 13F sweep, Yellowbrick filing page convenience-layer pass. Cross-manager add cluster, not a queue promotion yet.
CCLD · CareCloud, Inc.
The adjusted EBITDA story held up better than expected, but the capital structure did not. SEC companyfacts show 2025 revenue of about $120.5m, operating income of about $11.3m…
CERT · Certara
Serious-looking writeup, but math looked loose. Good reminder that the subreddit can surface real leads.
CRM · Salesforce, Inc.
Too consensus, too large-cap, and too obviously discussed to clear the edge bar for this funnel from a lightweight Yellowbrick pass.
CROX · Crocs, Inc.
Q4 2025 13F sweep, Yellowbrick filing page convenience-layer pass. New Himalaya position at ~1.51% weight.
CTVA · Corteva, Inc.
Q4 2025 13F sweep, Yellowbrick filing page convenience-layer pass. New Harris position at ~1.39% weight.
KMB / KVUE · Kimberly-Clark / Kenvue merger
Interesting event-driven setup, but this looks more like a special-situations branch than a default core-funnel name right now. Keep the pattern, not the conviction.
META · Meta Platforms, Inc.
Q4 2025 13F sweep, Yellowbrick filing page convenience-layer pass. New Pershing position at ~11.37% portfolio weight, not yet queued pending smell test.
MRP · Millrose Properties Inc.
Worth remembering as a weirdco/source lead, not yet queue-worthy from the visible stub alone.
PLOW · Douglas Dynamics
Good niche business, but current setup looks more like a decent weather-sensitive industrial than a clearly mispriced value idea. After the rebound, valuation appears fair-to-full…
PRDO · Perdoceo Education
Business quality and regulatory risk look too weak for this doctrine.
SPT · Sprout Social
Revenue growth remains real, but the apparent cheapness is flattered by stock-based compensation and dilution. SEC companyfacts show 2025 revenue of about $457.5m, operating loss…
VIRT · Virtu Financial
Quality franchise with real technology and buyback support, but the current setup does not look mispriced enough for the funnel. At roughly ~9.6x TTM earnings, ~1.2x sales, and…
WOOD basket · North American wood products
Interesting industry map, but this is a theme/source lead, not yet a specific queue-worthy company.
WTW · Willis Towers Watson plc
Q4 2025 13F sweep, Yellowbrick filing page convenience-layer pass. Baupost add 25% at 8.45% weight, Harris add 32% at 2.26% weight.

Recent movement

In, out, promoted, rejected, parked, documented

Recent funnel commits

Git history for the pipe itself
Collapse dashboard funnel to core stages2026-04-22 · f35379f
Refine OTB first-pass decision criteria2026-04-22 · b531f88
Defer HURC after inventory quality pressure test2026-04-22 · de1a277
Log Yellowbrick heartbeat triage pass2026-04-22 · fad5cec
Force CAM.L queue decision to deferred2026-04-22 · bb562e3
Tighten CAM.L surplus-liquidity view2026-04-22 · 1202840
Defer MCCK after governance realizability check2026-04-22 · 05e0715
Normalize MCCK first pass earnings2026-04-21 · d0df557
Start MCCK first pass2026-04-21 · 2aeb9a9
Split CAM liquid backing from hard assets2026-04-21 · b2137d0
Start OTB first pass2026-04-21 · d27164c
Stress test HURC working capital discount2026-04-21 · 21438b6
Start HURC first pass2026-04-21 · 260ddda
Clean up CAM.L post-tender book value2026-04-21 · eb98b41
Advance CAM.L book value sanity check2026-04-21 · 4beb244
Advance CAM.L first pass with interim report2026-04-21 · 93e8dc4
Run Q4 2025 13F engine sweep2026-04-21 · 84ee1d5
Track idea provenance through funnel2026-04-21 · 079ec23

Opportunity map

Click a name for the side pane, or open the full company page